Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese and international models, indicate a high of 29–31°C for Shanghai on September 12 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where September average highs hover near 27°C but recent days have seen readings in the upper 20s amid variable cloud cover. Model consensus favors 29°C as the peak, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability, while slight variations in timing of any clearing or minor moisture could shift outcomes toward 28°C or 30°C. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance and observational data will likely refine these probabilities further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
29°C 50%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
19%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 26%
30°C 19%
27°C 8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
19%
31°C
5%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese and international models, indicate a high of 29–31°C for Shanghai on September 12 under mostly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with light winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where September average highs hover near 27°C but recent days have seen readings in the upper 20s amid variable cloud cover. Model consensus favors 29°C as the peak, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability, while slight variations in timing of any clearing or minor moisture could shift outcomes toward 28°C or 30°C. With resolution imminent, updated short-range guidance and observational data will likely refine these probabilities further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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