Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and complementary global models indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C for Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This places the outcome above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C, supported by stable high pressure and limited moisture. Trader consensus, with 27°C at 42% implied probability and adjacent values capturing over 90% of volume, aligns with this model agreement while acknowledging typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures and any late adjustments from updated runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on September 14?
27°C 42%
28°C 31%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C
42%
28°C
31%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 42%
28°C 31%
26°C 19%
29°C 14%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
13%
26°C
19%
27°C
42%
28°C
31%
29°C
14%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and complementary global models indicate a daytime maximum near 27°C for Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow. This places the outcome above the mid-September climatological average of roughly 21–22°C, supported by stable high pressure and limited moisture. Trader consensus, with 27°C at 42% implied probability and adjacent values capturing over 90% of volume, aligns with this model agreement while acknowledging typical short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures and any late adjustments from updated runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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