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icon for Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?

Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?

icon for Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?

Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

14–16 41%

17–19 37%

20+ 12.2%

11–13 10%

Polymarket

$1,374,782 Vol.

14–16 41%

17–19 37%

20+ 12.2%

11–13 10%

Polymarket

$1,374,782 Vol.

8–10

$146,819 Vol.

1%

11–13

$415,699 Vol.

10%

14–16

$187,960 Vol.

41%

17–19

$212,552 Vol.

37%

20+

$67,719 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.With 11 magnitude 7.0+ events recorded through mid-August 2026—slightly below the USGS long-term average of roughly 16 per year—trader sentiment centers on whether remaining months will sustain or accelerate the pace along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Recent activity, including a 7.7 in Indonesia and 7.4 in Colombia, aligns with typical subduction-zone clustering but lacks widespread aftershock sequences or stress-transfer signals that historically elevate annual totals. Four-plus months remain before year-end resolution, and model consensus on tectonic loading rates supports the close contest between the 14–16 and 17–19 bins, with upside potential tied to any large aftershock series or new fault ruptures.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$1,374,782
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.With 11 magnitude 7.0+ events recorded through mid-August 2026—slightly below the USGS long-term average of roughly 16 per year—trader sentiment centers on whether remaining months will sustain or accelerate the pace along the Pacific Ring of Fire. Recent activity, including a 7.7 in Indonesia and 7.4 in Colombia, aligns with typical subduction-zone clustering but lacks widespread aftershock sequences or stress-transfer signals that historically elevate annual totals. Four-plus months remain before year-end resolution, and model consensus on tectonic loading rates supports the close contest between the 14–16 and 17–19 bins, with upside potential tied to any large aftershock series or new fault ruptures.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Volume
$1,374,782
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 31, 2025, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "14–16" sa 41%, sinusundan ng "17–19" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 41¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $1.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 31, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay "14–16" sa 41%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 41% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "17–19" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ilan ang 7.0 o higit pang mga lindol sa 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.