Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 32–36°C range for Taipei on August 16, driven by typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flow, and afternoon thundershowers that often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent heat alerts and observed maxima near 36–37°C in surrounding districts underscore the potential for the upper end of that band, while model consensus and historical August averages around 32–34°C support the market’s emphasis on 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification against convective timing, with new observational updates and overnight model runs likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
35°C 42%
36°C 29%
34°C 16%
33°C 5%
BAGO
$11,379 Vol.
BAGO
$11,379 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
42%
36°C
29%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
36°C 29%
34°C 16%
33°C 5%
BAGO
$11,379 Vol.
BAGO
$11,379 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$362 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$704 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,970 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,272 Vol.
5%
34°C
$3,311 Vol.
16%
35°C
$776 Vol.
42%
36°C
$1,483 Vol.
29%
37°C
$533 Vol.
4%
38°C
$397 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$337 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 32–36°C range for Taipei on August 16, driven by typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flow, and afternoon thundershowers that often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent heat alerts and observed maxima near 36–37°C in surrounding districts underscore the potential for the upper end of that band, while model consensus and historical August averages around 32–34°C support the market’s emphasis on 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification against convective timing, with new observational updates and overnight model runs likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11,379Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 32–36°C range for Taipei on August 16, driven by typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flow, and afternoon thundershowers that often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent heat alerts and observed maxima near 36–37°C in surrounding districts underscore the potential for the upper end of that band, while model consensus and historical August averages around 32–34°C support the market’s emphasis on 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification against convective timing, with new observational updates and overnight model runs likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,379Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a 32–36°C range for Taipei on August 16, driven by typical late-summer conditions featuring high humidity, weak steering flow, and afternoon thundershowers that often limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent heat alerts and observed maxima near 36–37°C in surrounding districts underscore the potential for the upper end of that band, while model consensus and historical August averages around 32–34°C support the market’s emphasis on 35°C and 36°C as leading outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for intensification against convective timing, with new observational updates and overnight model runs likely to refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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