Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 32°C and 38.5% for 31°C aligns with Singapore’s typical mid-August tropical conditions, where maximum temperatures usually peak near 31–32°C amid high humidity and light monsoon-influenced winds. Recent regional observations show stable sea-surface temperatures and limited convective activity, reducing the chance of notable warming or cooling. Global model consensus supports this narrow band with low day-to-day variability, consistent with historical August averages around 31.5°C. No major atmospheric shifts have emerged in the past week to alter these baselines. Refined forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency ahead of the August 16 measurement window will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
32°C 51%
31°C 39%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$12,404 Vol.
$12,404 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
39%
32°C
51%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 51%
31°C 39%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$12,404 Vol.
$12,404 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
39%
32°C
51%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflected in the 51.5% implied probability for 32°C and 38.5% for 31°C aligns with Singapore’s typical mid-August tropical conditions, where maximum temperatures usually peak near 31–32°C amid high humidity and light monsoon-influenced winds. Recent regional observations show stable sea-surface temperatures and limited convective activity, reducing the chance of notable warming or cooling. Global model consensus supports this narrow band with low day-to-day variability, consistent with historical August averages around 31.5°C. No major atmospheric shifts have emerged in the past week to alter these baselines. Refined forecasts from Singapore’s National Environment Agency ahead of the August 16 measurement window will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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