Traders have converged strongly on 28°C as Shanghai’s highest temperature for August 16, reflected in the 91% implied probability, because current ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies show maximum readings stabilizing near that threshold under a dominant high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations and model guidance indicate typical mid-August conditions for the Yangtze River Delta, with limited moisture and no strong diurnal heating anomalies expected to push values higher. Historical climatology for the date places average maxima in the upper 20s, providing additional context for the tight market range. A late-day shift in wind patterns or stronger urban heat-island amplification could allow a brief excursion to 29°C, yet the latest model runs assign only modest odds to that outcome before evening cooling sets in.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
29°C 89%
30°C 4.5%
31°C <1%
28°C <1%
$101,533 Vol.
$101,533 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
89%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 89%
30°C 4.5%
31°C <1%
28°C <1%
$101,533 Vol.
$101,533 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,293 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,299 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20,976 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$22,204 Vol.
89%
30°C
$21,377 Vol.
5%
31°C
$19,327 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,109 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,069 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,587 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged strongly on 28°C as Shanghai’s highest temperature for August 16, reflected in the 91% implied probability, because current ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies show maximum readings stabilizing near that threshold under a dominant high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations and model guidance indicate typical mid-August conditions for the Yangtze River Delta, with limited moisture and no strong diurnal heating anomalies expected to push values higher. Historical climatology for the date places average maxima in the upper 20s, providing additional context for the tight market range. A late-day shift in wind patterns or stronger urban heat-island amplification could allow a brief excursion to 29°C, yet the latest model runs assign only modest odds to that outcome before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$101,533Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged strongly on 28°C as Shanghai’s highest temperature for August 16, reflected in the 91% implied probability, because current ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies show maximum readings stabilizing near that threshold under a dominant high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations and model guidance indicate typical mid-August conditions for the Yangtze River Delta, with limited moisture and no strong diurnal heating anomalies expected to push values higher. Historical climatology for the date places average maxima in the upper 20s, providing additional context for the tight market range. A late-day shift in wind patterns or stronger urban heat-island amplification could allow a brief excursion to 29°C, yet the latest model runs assign only modest odds to that outcome before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$101,533Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged strongly on 28°C as Shanghai’s highest temperature for August 16, reflected in the 91% implied probability, because current ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological agencies show maximum readings stabilizing near that threshold under a dominant high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow. Surface observations and model guidance indicate typical mid-August conditions for the Yangtze River Delta, with limited moisture and no strong diurnal heating anomalies expected to push values higher. Historical climatology for the date places average maxima in the upper 20s, providing additional context for the tight market range. A late-day shift in wind patterns or stronger urban heat-island amplification could allow a brief excursion to 29°C, yet the latest model runs assign only modest odds to that outcome before evening cooling sets in.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong