Latest forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs of 33–34°C on August 16 under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies and efficient solar heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns in central Spain, where average daily maxima hover near 32°C but can reach 35°C during warm spells. Ensemble model guidance shows limited variability, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover altering outcomes. Trader consensus at 34°C (57%) and 35°C (30%) reflects this model agreement while accounting for minor uncertainties in local microclimates and exact peak timing ahead of official verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on August 16?
34°C 57%
35°C 30%
33°C 9%
36°C 6%
$14,725 Vol.
$14,725 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
57%
35°C
30%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 57%
35°C 30%
33°C 9%
36°C 6%
$14,725 Vol.
$14,725 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
57%
35°C
30%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate Madrid highs of 33–34°C on August 16 under sunny conditions with light winds, driven by a stable high-pressure system promoting clear skies and efficient solar heating. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns in central Spain, where average daily maxima hover near 32°C but can reach 35°C during warm spells. Ensemble model guidance shows limited variability, with minimal risk of stronger advection or cloud cover altering outcomes. Trader consensus at 34°C (57%) and 35°C (30%) reflects this model agreement while accounting for minor uncertainties in local microclimates and exact peak timing ahead of official verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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