Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum nighttime temperature of 18°C on August 17, establishing the central driver behind the closely matched 39.5% and 31.5% market-implied odds for 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with light easterly winds and dew-point values supporting minima clustered near 17–19°C. Historical August climatology for central London records typical overnight lows of 14–16°C, so the current mild pattern reflects above-average temperatures persisting into mid-month. Traders appear to weigh small differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects against the official 18°C baseline, with updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 17?
Lowest temperature in London on August 17?
18°C 40%
19°C 33%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
40%
19°C
33%
20°C
13%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 40%
19°C 33%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
$138 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$60 Vol.
1%
15°C
$47 Vol.
1%
16°C
$60 Vol.
3%
17°C
$303 Vol.
11%
18°C
$2,676 Vol.
40%
19°C
$1,546 Vol.
33%
20°C
$1,539 Vol.
13%
21°C
$141 Vol.
2%
22°C
$310 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum nighttime temperature of 18°C on August 17, establishing the central driver behind the closely matched 39.5% and 31.5% market-implied odds for 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with light easterly winds and dew-point values supporting minima clustered near 17–19°C. Historical August climatology for central London records typical overnight lows of 14–16°C, so the current mild pattern reflects above-average temperatures persisting into mid-month. Traders appear to weigh small differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects against the official 18°C baseline, with updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$7,085Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum nighttime temperature of 18°C on August 17, establishing the central driver behind the closely matched 39.5% and 31.5% market-implied odds for 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with light easterly winds and dew-point values supporting minima clustered near 17–19°C. Historical August climatology for central London records typical overnight lows of 14–16°C, so the current mild pattern reflects above-average temperatures persisting into mid-month. Traders appear to weigh small differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects against the official 18°C baseline, with updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,085Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London points to a minimum nighttime temperature of 18°C on August 17, establishing the central driver behind the closely matched 39.5% and 31.5% market-implied odds for 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread in overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions, with light easterly winds and dew-point values supporting minima clustered near 17–19°C. Historical August climatology for central London records typical overnight lows of 14–16°C, so the current mild pattern reflects above-average temperatures persisting into mid-month. Traders appear to weigh small differences in model resolution of boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects against the official 18°C baseline, with updated guidance expected from the Met Office and ECMWF runs overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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