Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 18 project daytime highs of 25–29°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, which has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 50–100 mm rainfall totals over western Luzon. These conditions limit surface heating and keep maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus and official outlooks emphasize continued monsoon enhancement through the period, supporting trader focus on 27–29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 30°C+ readings that would require clearer skies and reduced precipitation. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength remain key near-term drivers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on August 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 18?
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 23%
30°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
23%
28°C
49%
29°C
26%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 49%
29°C 26%
27°C 23%
30°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$102 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$102 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$187 Vol.
1%
25°C
$67 Vol.
1%
26°C
$167 Vol.
3%
27°C
$593 Vol.
23%
28°C
$749 Vol.
49%
29°C
$223 Vol.
26%
30°C
$185 Vol.
4%
31°C
$167 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$121 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 18 project daytime highs of 25–29°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, which has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 50–100 mm rainfall totals over western Luzon. These conditions limit surface heating and keep maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus and official outlooks emphasize continued monsoon enhancement through the period, supporting trader focus on 27–29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 30°C+ readings that would require clearer skies and reduced precipitation. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength remain key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,664Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 18 project daytime highs of 25–29°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, which has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 50–100 mm rainfall totals over western Luzon. These conditions limit surface heating and keep maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus and official outlooks emphasize continued monsoon enhancement through the period, supporting trader focus on 27–29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 30°C+ readings that would require clearer skies and reduced precipitation. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength remain key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,664Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 18 project daytime highs of 25–29°C amid persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, which has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 50–100 mm rainfall totals over western Luzon. These conditions limit surface heating and keep maximum temperatures below the long-term August average of ~31°C. Model consensus and official outlooks emphasize continued monsoon enhancement through the period, supporting trader focus on 27–29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to 30°C+ readings that would require clearer skies and reduced precipitation. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength remain key near-term drivers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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