Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Incheon on August 16 amid scattered showers and 60% precipitation probability, with min temperatures around 24°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and potential convective cooling from rainfall introduce downward pressure on peak readings, explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C rather than higher values. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-breeze effects often moderate extremes compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Updated short-range model runs and KMA briefings in the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 30–31°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
29°C 28%
28°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 17%
BAGO
$21,576 Vol.
BAGO
$21,576 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
25%
29°C
28%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 28%
28°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 17%
BAGO
$21,576 Vol.
BAGO
$21,576 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,129 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$965 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,640 Vol.
9%
27°C
$1,959 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,505 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,657 Vol.
28%
30°C
$6,149 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,280 Vol.
6%
32°C or higher
$2,748 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Incheon on August 16 amid scattered showers and 60% precipitation probability, with min temperatures around 24°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and potential convective cooling from rainfall introduce downward pressure on peak readings, explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C rather than higher values. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-breeze effects often moderate extremes compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Updated short-range model runs and KMA briefings in the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 30–31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Incheon on August 16 amid scattered showers and 60% precipitation probability, with min temperatures around 24°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and potential convective cooling from rainfall introduce downward pressure on peak readings, explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C rather than higher values. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-breeze effects often moderate extremes compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Updated short-range model runs and KMA briefings in the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 30–31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,576Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 30°C in Incheon on August 16 amid scattered showers and 60% precipitation probability, with min temperatures around 24°C. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and potential convective cooling from rainfall introduce downward pressure on peak readings, explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C rather than higher values. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where monsoon influences and sea-breeze effects often moderate extremes compared to clearer-sky scenarios. Updated short-range model runs and KMA briefings in the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 30–31°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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