**Recent official forecasts from MetService and NIWA models, aligned with seasonal norms for Wellington in mid-August, have converged on a maximum temperature of 13°C under stable winter conditions influenced by near-average El Niño patterns.** Daily highs typically range 11–13°C this time of year, with southeasterly flows and light rain limiting diurnal warming. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects this strong consensus from observational data and ensemble runs showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in wind direction or unmodeled cloud cover that could push readings to 12°C or 14°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 15?
13°C 99.8%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,899 Vol.
$79,899 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.8%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$79,899 Vol.
$79,899 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
9°C or below
$1,154 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$285 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$12,499 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$18,351 Vol.
100%
14°C
$15,476 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$11,550 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$12,867 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$4,527 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from MetService and NIWA models, aligned with seasonal norms for Wellington in mid-August, have converged on a maximum temperature of 13°C under stable winter conditions influenced by near-average El Niño patterns.** Daily highs typically range 11–13°C this time of year, with southeasterly flows and light rain limiting diurnal warming. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects this strong consensus from observational data and ensemble runs showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in wind direction or unmodeled cloud cover that could push readings to 12°C or 14°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$79,899Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from MetService and NIWA models, aligned with seasonal norms for Wellington in mid-August, have converged on a maximum temperature of 13°C under stable winter conditions influenced by near-average El Niño patterns.** Daily highs typically range 11–13°C this time of year, with southeasterly flows and light rain limiting diurnal warming. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects this strong consensus from observational data and ensemble runs showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in wind direction or unmodeled cloud cover that could push readings to 12°C or 14°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79,899Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from MetService and NIWA models, aligned with seasonal norms for Wellington in mid-August, have converged on a maximum temperature of 13°C under stable winter conditions influenced by near-average El Niño patterns.** Daily highs typically range 11–13°C this time of year, with southeasterly flows and light rain limiting diurnal warming. The 99.8% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects this strong consensus from observational data and ensemble runs showing minimal deviation. Realistic challenges include rapid shifts in wind direction or unmodeled cloud cover that could push readings to 12°C or 14°C, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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