Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies show a moderating Atlantic air mass and increased cloud cover driving overnight lows in Paris toward 18–19°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 41.5% and 26.5% implied probability. This cooling follows midweek heat, with daytime maxima expected near 29°C and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible showers limiting temperature drops. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, providing climatological context, while model consensus narrows the range ahead of final resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could push the minimum lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
19°C 42%
18°C or below 27%
20°C 21%
21°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
27%
19°C
42%
20°C
21%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
19°C 42%
18°C or below 27%
20°C 21%
21°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$1,832 Vol.
27%
19°C
$1,805 Vol.
42%
20°C
$302 Vol.
21%
21°C
$664 Vol.
7%
22°C
$156 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$633 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$233 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies show a moderating Atlantic air mass and increased cloud cover driving overnight lows in Paris toward 18–19°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 41.5% and 26.5% implied probability. This cooling follows midweek heat, with daytime maxima expected near 29°C and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible showers limiting temperature drops. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, providing climatological context, while model consensus narrows the range ahead of final resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could push the minimum lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$7,360Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies show a moderating Atlantic air mass and increased cloud cover driving overnight lows in Paris toward 18–19°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 41.5% and 26.5% implied probability. This cooling follows midweek heat, with daytime maxima expected near 29°C and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible showers limiting temperature drops. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, providing climatological context, while model consensus narrows the range ahead of final resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could push the minimum lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,360Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies show a moderating Atlantic air mass and increased cloud cover driving overnight lows in Paris toward 18–19°C on August 16, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 41.5% and 26.5% implied probability. This cooling follows midweek heat, with daytime maxima expected near 29°C and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and possible showers limiting temperature drops. Historical August minima average 15–18°C, providing climatological context, while model consensus narrows the range ahead of final resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from Météo-France and ECMWF for any shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could push the minimum lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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