Current Met Office and supporting model guidance for London on August 16 point to a maximum of 26–27°C under sunny intervals and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August and reflects a stable high-pressure influence limiting cloud cover and convective activity that could otherwise suppress peaks. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement on the daily high, with minimal upside risk from warmer advection or downside from showers. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 26–27°C band at nearly 70% combined implied probability, consistent with official temperature grids and historical verification rates for short-range UK forecasts this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on August 16?
Highest temperature in London on August 16?
26°C 42%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
BAGO
$23,051 Vol.
BAGO
$23,051 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
42%
27°C
28%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
BAGO
$23,051 Vol.
BAGO
$23,051 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$2,009 Vol.
3%
24°C
$2,641 Vol.
5%
25°C
$5,766 Vol.
18%
26°C
$3,238 Vol.
42%
27°C
$3,674 Vol.
28%
28°C
$2,159 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,299 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,144 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and supporting model guidance for London on August 16 point to a maximum of 26–27°C under sunny intervals and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August and reflects a stable high-pressure influence limiting cloud cover and convective activity that could otherwise suppress peaks. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement on the daily high, with minimal upside risk from warmer advection or downside from showers. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 26–27°C band at nearly 70% combined implied probability, consistent with official temperature grids and historical verification rates for short-range UK forecasts this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$23,051Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and supporting model guidance for London on August 16 point to a maximum of 26–27°C under sunny intervals and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August and reflects a stable high-pressure influence limiting cloud cover and convective activity that could otherwise suppress peaks. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement on the daily high, with minimal upside risk from warmer advection or downside from showers. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 26–27°C band at nearly 70% combined implied probability, consistent with official temperature grids and historical verification rates for short-range UK forecasts this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,051Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office and supporting model guidance for London on August 16 point to a maximum of 26–27°C under sunny intervals and light winds, driving the market’s heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-August and reflects a stable high-pressure influence limiting cloud cover and convective activity that could otherwise suppress peaks. Ensemble forecasts show tight agreement on the daily high, with minimal upside risk from warmer advection or downside from showers. Traders are therefore pricing the narrow 26–27°C band at nearly 70% combined implied probability, consistent with official temperature grids and historical verification rates for short-range UK forecasts this time of year. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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