Trader consensus around 9–10°C for Wellington’s August 17 maximum reflects the latest MetService guidance and model consensus for a cool, showery day under strong southerly flow. Persistent low cloud and periods of rain limit solar heating, while the southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms or slightly below. Minor model spread in wind timing and any brief afternoon clearing creates the tight split between 9°C and 10°C implied probabilities. Updated MetService briefings and next model runs will likely drive the final resolution as conditions evolve overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
10°C 49%
9°C 42%
8°C 5%
11°C 4%
BAGO
$21,313 Vol.
BAGO
$21,313 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
5%
9°C
42%
10°C
49%
11°C
4%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 49%
9°C 42%
8°C 5%
11°C 4%
BAGO
$21,313 Vol.
BAGO
$21,313 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,506 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$3,258 Vol.
2%
8°C
$4,204 Vol.
5%
9°C
$3,633 Vol.
42%
10°C
$3,255 Vol.
49%
11°C
$1,550 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,467 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,915 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 9–10°C for Wellington’s August 17 maximum reflects the latest MetService guidance and model consensus for a cool, showery day under strong southerly flow. Persistent low cloud and periods of rain limit solar heating, while the southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms or slightly below. Minor model spread in wind timing and any brief afternoon clearing creates the tight split between 9°C and 10°C implied probabilities. Updated MetService briefings and next model runs will likely drive the final resolution as conditions evolve overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Volume
$21,313Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 9–10°C for Wellington’s August 17 maximum reflects the latest MetService guidance and model consensus for a cool, showery day under strong southerly flow. Persistent low cloud and periods of rain limit solar heating, while the southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms or slightly below. Minor model spread in wind timing and any brief afternoon clearing creates the tight split between 9°C and 10°C implied probabilities. Updated MetService briefings and next model runs will likely drive the final resolution as conditions evolve overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,313Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 9–10°C for Wellington’s August 17 maximum reflects the latest MetService guidance and model consensus for a cool, showery day under strong southerly flow. Persistent low cloud and periods of rain limit solar heating, while the southerlies advect cooler maritime air from higher latitudes, keeping daytime maxima near seasonal norms or slightly below. Minor model spread in wind timing and any brief afternoon clearing creates the tight split between 9°C and 10°C implied probabilities. Updated MetService briefings and next model runs will likely drive the final resolution as conditions evolve overnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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