Current short-term forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daily maximum of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 18, driven by persistent southerly winds and a polar air mass that has kept recent daytime highs near or below the August climatological average of 12°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August amid emerging El Niño conditions, which often enhance southerly flow and suppress warmth. Trader consensus clusters on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes because these align with ensemble guidance and historical variability, where brief northerly shifts could lift maxima by 1–2°C but stronger southerlies or showers would cap them at or below 10°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and cloud cover that directly control peak readings at official stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
11°C 54%
12°C 35%
10°C 8%
13°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
8%
11°C
54%
12°C
35%
13°C
6%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 54%
12°C 35%
10°C 8%
13°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$15 Vol.
2%
9°C
$10 Vol.
2%
10°C
$39 Vol.
8%
11°C
$1,136 Vol.
54%
12°C
$1,699 Vol.
35%
13°C
$105 Vol.
6%
14°C
$12 Vol.
2%
15°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daily maximum of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 18, driven by persistent southerly winds and a polar air mass that has kept recent daytime highs near or below the August climatological average of 12°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August amid emerging El Niño conditions, which often enhance southerly flow and suppress warmth. Trader consensus clusters on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes because these align with ensemble guidance and historical variability, where brief northerly shifts could lift maxima by 1–2°C but stronger southerlies or showers would cap them at or below 10°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and cloud cover that directly control peak readings at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,608Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daily maximum of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 18, driven by persistent southerly winds and a polar air mass that has kept recent daytime highs near or below the August climatological average of 12°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August amid emerging El Niño conditions, which often enhance southerly flow and suppress warmth. Trader consensus clusters on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes because these align with ensemble guidance and historical variability, where brief northerly shifts could lift maxima by 1–2°C but stronger southerlies or showers would cap them at or below 10°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and cloud cover that directly control peak readings at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,608Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from MetService and aligned models indicate a daily maximum of 10–11°C in Wellington on August 18, driven by persistent southerly winds and a polar air mass that has kept recent daytime highs near or below the August climatological average of 12°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region through August amid emerging El Niño conditions, which often enhance southerly flow and suppress warmth. Trader consensus clusters on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes because these align with ensemble guidance and historical variability, where brief northerly shifts could lift maxima by 1–2°C but stronger southerlies or showers would cap them at or below 10°C. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and cloud cover that directly control peak readings at official stations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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