Persistent overcast skies and scattered showers across Shanghai, driven by a moist summer monsoon regime with weak steering flow, have kept overnight radiative cooling limited and confined minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate the diurnal range, aligning with recent China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus that show little potential for stronger clear-sky cooling or drier air advection before dawn on August 16. Historical mid-August baselines average lows around 25–26°C, but the current pattern’s stability favors the market’s tight split between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, with resolution dependent on official station observations of the precise overnight minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
26°C 47%
25°C 39%
27°C 8%
24°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
47%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 39%
27°C 8%
24°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
39%
26°C
47%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent overcast skies and scattered showers across Shanghai, driven by a moist summer monsoon regime with weak steering flow, have kept overnight radiative cooling limited and confined minimum temperatures near 25–26°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate the diurnal range, aligning with recent China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus that show little potential for stronger clear-sky cooling or drier air advection before dawn on August 16. Historical mid-August baselines average lows around 25–26°C, but the current pattern’s stability favors the market’s tight split between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes, with resolution dependent on official station observations of the precise overnight minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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