Forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Shanghai on August 15, aligning with typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and overnight radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy skies. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 25–26°C, with recent observations confirming stable thermal profiles absent major cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader consensus at 97.5% for exactly 26°C reflects this convergence of ensemble predictions and real-time surface data. A realistic shift toward 25°C or lower would require an unforecasted northerly surge or intensified precipitation cooling, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
26°C 97%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
$37,547 Vol.
$37,547 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
97%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 97%
25°C 3%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
$37,547 Vol.
$37,547 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
97%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Shanghai on August 15, aligning with typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and overnight radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy skies. Historical climatology shows August lows averaging 25–26°C, with recent observations confirming stable thermal profiles absent major cold fronts or typhoon influences. Trader consensus at 97.5% for exactly 26°C reflects this convergence of ensemble predictions and real-time surface data. A realistic shift toward 25°C or lower would require an unforecasted northerly surge or intensified precipitation cooling, though current steering patterns and model agreement make such deviations improbable before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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