Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?

Aug 14

Aug 15

Aug 16

Aug 17

Aug 14

Aug 15

Aug 16

Aug 17

33°C 38%

32°C 30%

34°C 22%

31°C 7%

Polymarket
BAGO

33°C 38%

32°C 30%

34°C 22%

31°C 7%

Polymarket
BAGO

28°C or below

$174 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$159 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$526 Vol.

2%

31°C

$185 Vol.

7%

32°C

$797 Vol.

30%

33°C

$1,112 Vol.

38%

34°C

$1,606 Vol.

22%

35°C

$541 Vol.

6%

36°C

$267 Vol.

1%

37°C

$145 Vol.

<1%

38°C or higher

$171 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on August 17 at 38.5% implied probability, closely followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting tight forecast spreads around the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest guidance. Persistent subtropical ridging supports above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook for August–October, while embedded showers and thunderstorms—driven by enhanced moisture convergence—introduce variability that caps extreme heating and favors outcomes clustered near the climatological peak of 31–33°C. Short-range model runs show limited disagreement on steering flow and cloud cover, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C. Official maximum temperature resolution at the primary station will hinge on precise timing of convective activity tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,682
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a 33°C high in Hong Kong on August 17 at 38.5% implied probability, closely followed by 32°C and 34°C, reflecting tight forecast spreads around the Hong Kong Observatory’s latest guidance. Persistent subtropical ridging supports above-normal temperatures consistent with the seasonal outlook for August–October, while embedded showers and thunderstorms—driven by enhanced moisture convergence—introduce variability that caps extreme heating and favors outcomes clustered near the climatological peak of 31–33°C. Short-range model runs show limited disagreement on steering flow and cloud cover, with any clearer breaks potentially allowing brief spikes to 34°C. Official maximum temperature resolution at the primary station will hinge on precise timing of convective activity tomorrow.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,682
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Kaugnay

icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?

78%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 18?

30%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?

100%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "33°C" sa 38%, sinusundan ng "32°C" sa 30%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 38¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 15, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?" ay "33°C" sa 38%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "32°C" sa 30%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.