The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 16?
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,141 Vol.
$31,141 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$31,141 Vol.
$31,141 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
17°C or below
$538 Vol.
No
18°C
$363 Vol.
No
19°C
$363 Vol.
No
20°C
$363 Vol.
No
21°C
$245 Vol.
No
22°C
$303 Vol.
No
23°C
$518 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,572 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,103 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,941 Vol.
Yes
27°C or higher
$3,833 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$31,141Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,141Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The market's near-certain pricing on a 26°C high reflects official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and local authorities, which projected a daytime maximum of 26°C on September 16 under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and isolated light rain potential in the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and high solar angles. Official station measurements, including from Benito Juárez International Airport, confirmed the peak fell squarely at this threshold, leaving scant uncertainty. Only an unexpected late-afternoon spike or station-specific microclimate deviation could have altered resolution, scenarios forecasters deemed highly improbable given consistent model runs and observed conditions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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