Recent forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical late-September Mediterranean conditions, where average daily highs hover around 30–31°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and warm sea surface temperatures that limit rapid cooling. The 27.5% odds on 30°C and smaller shares on 32°C capture minor model spread and uncertainty in afternoon heating rates, with no heatwave or anomalous steering patterns evident in current guidance. Real-time station data throughout the day will determine the official maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 21?
31°C 59%
30°C 25%
32°C 10.2%
27°C or below 6.6%
$40,230 Vol.
$40,230 Vol.
27°C or below
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
25%
31°C
59%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 59%
30°C 25%
32°C 10.2%
27°C or below 6.6%
$40,230 Vol.
$40,230 Vol.
27°C or below
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
25%
31°C
59%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds and moderate humidity, aligning with the market's leading 57.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. This reflects typical late-September Mediterranean conditions, where average daily highs hover around 30–31°C amid stable atmospheric patterns and warm sea surface temperatures that limit rapid cooling. The 27.5% odds on 30°C and smaller shares on 32°C capture minor model spread and uncertainty in afternoon heating rates, with no heatwave or anomalous steering patterns evident in current guidance. Real-time station data throughout the day will determine the official maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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