Recent global and regional forecast models, including GFS and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds over Tel Aviv on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 29–30°C. These conditions follow a period of variable showers and westerly flow that has kept recent maxima around 30°C, with limited cloud cover expected to allow typical late-September insolation without significant cooling from sea breezes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though local urban effects and exact timing of peak heating introduce small uncertainty around the daily maximum. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs of 28–30°C, aligning with the market-implied concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
31°C 51%
30°C 28%
32°C 11%
29°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
51%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 28%
32°C 11%
29°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
51%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional forecast models, including GFS and Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds over Tel Aviv on September 20, supporting daytime highs near 29–30°C. These conditions follow a period of variable showers and westerly flow that has kept recent maxima around 30°C, with limited cloud cover expected to allow typical late-September insolation without significant cooling from sea breezes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though local urban effects and exact timing of peak heating introduce small uncertainty around the daily maximum. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average highs of 28–30°C, aligning with the market-implied concentration on 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of the date will provide the next key data points for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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