Latest National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, points to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Austin on September 20, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 90s. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 98-99°F bin at 55% implied probability, as scattered cloud cover limits peak solar heating while elevated humidity sustains warmth. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F outcomes capture remaining model spread, with historical September averages near 90°F providing context for the above-normal but not extreme setup. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce upside potential for 102°F-plus readings ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Austin on September 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 20?
98-99°F 61%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 17%
102-103°F 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
61%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 61%
96-97°F 24%
100-101°F 17%
102-103°F 2%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 20, 2026
89°F or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$222 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$113 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$321 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$517 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$715 Vol.
61%
100-101°F
$990 Vol.
17%
102-103°F
$9 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$154 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$241 Vol.
1%
108°F or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, points to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Austin on September 20, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 90s. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 98-99°F bin at 55% implied probability, as scattered cloud cover limits peak solar heating while elevated humidity sustains warmth. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F outcomes capture remaining model spread, with historical September averages near 90°F providing context for the above-normal but not extreme setup. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce upside potential for 102°F-plus readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,505Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, points to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Austin on September 20, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 90s. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 98-99°F bin at 55% implied probability, as scattered cloud cover limits peak solar heating while elevated humidity sustains warmth. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F outcomes capture remaining model spread, with historical September averages near 90°F providing context for the above-normal but not extreme setup. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce upside potential for 102°F-plus readings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,505Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance, including GFS runs, points to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Austin on September 20, supporting afternoon highs in the upper 90s. These conditions align with trader emphasis on the 98-99°F bin at 55% implied probability, as scattered cloud cover limits peak solar heating while elevated humidity sustains warmth. The 96-97°F and 100-101°F outcomes capture remaining model spread, with historical September averages near 90°F providing context for the above-normal but not extreme setup. Minimal precipitation risk and stable steering patterns reduce upside potential for 102°F-plus readings ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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