Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate São Paulo's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 17–20°C, with trader sentiment split between the 16°C-or-below outcome (49% implied probability) and 18°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could limit radiative cooling, combined with a northwesterly wind flow and urban heat effects that often raise observed minima above rural baselines. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing of instability, creating uncertainty around whether temperatures dip to 16°C or hold near 18–19°C before sunrise. Updated observations from local stations and revised short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 21?
16°C or below 49%
17°C 49%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
16°C or below
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 49%
17°C 49%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 21, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Vol.
49%
17°C
$0 Vol.
49%
18°C
$5 Vol.
49%
19°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$112 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate São Paulo's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 17–20°C, with trader sentiment split between the 16°C-or-below outcome (49% implied probability) and 18°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could limit radiative cooling, combined with a northwesterly wind flow and urban heat effects that often raise observed minima above rural baselines. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing of instability, creating uncertainty around whether temperatures dip to 16°C or hold near 18–19°C before sunrise. Updated observations from local stations and revised short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$470Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate São Paulo's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 17–20°C, with trader sentiment split between the 16°C-or-below outcome (49% implied probability) and 18°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could limit radiative cooling, combined with a northwesterly wind flow and urban heat effects that often raise observed minima above rural baselines. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing of instability, creating uncertainty around whether temperatures dip to 16°C or hold near 18–19°C before sunrise. Updated observations from local stations and revised short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$470Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate São Paulo's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 17–20°C, with trader sentiment split between the 16°C-or-below outcome (49% implied probability) and 18°C (41.5%). Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and scattered showers that could limit radiative cooling, combined with a northwesterly wind flow and urban heat effects that often raise observed minima above rural baselines. Recent model runs show modest disagreement on the exact timing of instability, creating uncertainty around whether temperatures dip to 16°C or hold near 18–19°C before sunrise. Updated observations from local stations and revised short-range guidance expected later today will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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