Recent global model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Shenzhen's September 23 daily maximum most likely between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light easterly flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture are limiting afternoon heating while favoring convective cloud development that caps peak readings. Ensemble spreads reflect timing uncertainty in any showers and modest variations in steering patterns typical for the Pearl River Delta in late September. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 30–33 °C because small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could easily move the observed high across those thresholds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
30°C 27%
32°C 26%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
18%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 27%
32°C 26%
31°C 21%
33°C 20%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
18%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS places Shenzhen's September 23 daily maximum most likely between 30–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light easterly flow and elevated boundary-layer moisture are limiting afternoon heating while favoring convective cloud development that caps peak readings. Ensemble spreads reflect timing uncertainty in any showers and modest variations in steering patterns typical for the Pearl River Delta in late September. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 30–33 °C because small forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could easily move the observed high across those thresholds before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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