Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office and GFS places Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 23 near 20–21°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 25–50% chance of showers are expected to limit daytime solar heating and suppress peaks relative to clearer conditions. These factors differentiate the leading bins, as modest variations in timing or intensity of precipitation could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from KNMI over the next 48 hours will provide key resolution signals for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23?
20°C 28%
21°C 25%
19°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
21%
20°C
28%
21°C
25%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
3%
20°C 28%
21°C 25%
19°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
21%
20°C
28%
21°C
25%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the Met Office and GFS places Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 23 near 20–21°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a 25–50% chance of showers are expected to limit daytime solar heating and suppress peaks relative to clearer conditions. These factors differentiate the leading bins, as modest variations in timing or intensity of precipitation could shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and official observations from KNMI over the next 48 hours will provide key resolution signals for traders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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