Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 23, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 50.5% reflect trader emphasis on recent warmth, with surface observations today reaching 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and rising humidity, though short-range forecast uncertainty around steering patterns and boundary timing could allow warmer outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 23?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 23?
30°C 51%
29°C 20%
28°C 17%
31°C or higher 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
17%
29°C
20%
30°C
51%
31°C or higher
16%
30°C 51%
29°C 20%
28°C 17%
31°C or higher 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
4%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C
$5 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
20%
30°C
$105 Vol.
51%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 23, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 50.5% reflect trader emphasis on recent warmth, with surface observations today reaching 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and rising humidity, though short-range forecast uncertainty around steering patterns and boundary timing could allow warmer outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$140Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 23, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 50.5% reflect trader emphasis on recent warmth, with surface observations today reaching 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and rising humidity, though short-range forecast uncertainty around steering patterns and boundary timing could allow warmer outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 23, driven by southerly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Market-implied odds favoring 30°C at 50.5% reflect trader emphasis on recent warmth, with surface observations today reaching 29–31°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential due to moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and rising humidity, though short-range forecast uncertainty around steering patterns and boundary timing could allow warmer outcomes. Updated model runs and official station data expected within 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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