Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles indicate a likely overnight low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 23, consistent with late-September subtropical norms influenced by lingering monsoon moisture and light easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers could suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above 24°C, while clearer breaks might allow modest drops toward 23–25°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes due to model spread on boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal passages, with limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
22°C or below
100%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
36%
29°C
8%
30°C
38%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
98%
22°C or below 100%
32°C or higher 98%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
22°C or below
100%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
21%
28°C
36%
29°C
8%
30°C
38%
31°C
38%
32°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and global ensembles indicate a likely overnight low near 26°C for Shenzhen on September 23, consistent with late-September subtropical norms influenced by lingering monsoon moisture and light easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers could suppress radiative cooling and keep the minimum above 24°C, while clearer breaks might allow modest drops toward 23–25°C. Trader sentiment remains nearly evenly split between sub-22°C and 32°C+ outcomes due to model spread on boundary-layer moisture and weak frontal passages, with limited historical precedent for extremes this late in the season. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance expected over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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