Current forecast guidance for Manila on September 20 points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 33°C. September’s climatological average high sits around 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, when frequent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typically limit extreme peaks. Recent model runs show light to moderate winds and partial clearing that could allow brief solar heating sufficient to reach 33°C before convective activity builds, while persistent rain or thicker cloud decks would more likely cap readings at 32°C. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine resolution, with any late-day intensification or measurement timing introducing modest uncertainty around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on September 20?
33°C 69%
32°C 24.9%
34°C 1.0%
35°C <1%
$55,590 Vol.
$55,590 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
33%
33°C
69%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 69%
32°C 24.9%
34°C 1.0%
35°C <1%
$55,590 Vol.
$55,590 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
33%
33°C
69%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance for Manila on September 20 points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 33°C. September’s climatological average high sits around 30–32°C amid the southwest monsoon, when frequent cloud cover, high humidity near 70–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms typically limit extreme peaks. Recent model runs show light to moderate winds and partial clearing that could allow brief solar heating sufficient to reach 33°C before convective activity builds, while persistent rain or thicker cloud decks would more likely cap readings at 32°C. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine resolution, with any late-day intensification or measurement timing introducing modest uncertainty around these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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