Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical wet-season pattern for Manila on September 21, with southwest monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and 40-85% rain probability limiting afternoon solar heating. This supports the market's tight clustering around 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 33°C (31%), as persistent cloud cover and convective activity often cap daily maxima near the 31-32°C climatological range rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes to 34°C or higher. High humidity (70-90%) and light variable winds further moderate peaks, while model runs show minor spread in timing of heaviest rain that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated NHC and local agency guidance through the evening will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Manila on September 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 21?
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
34°C 15%
31°C 14%
BAGO
$14,826 Vol.
BAGO
$14,826 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
38%
33°C
31%
34°C
15%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
34°C 15%
31°C 14%
BAGO
$14,826 Vol.
BAGO
$14,826 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
28°C or below
$403 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$386 Vol.
2%
30°C
$597 Vol.
5%
31°C
$4,448 Vol.
14%
32°C
$3,011 Vol.
38%
33°C
$3,905 Vol.
31%
34°C
$1,720 Vol.
15%
35°C
$212 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$4 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical wet-season pattern for Manila on September 21, with southwest monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and 40-85% rain probability limiting afternoon solar heating. This supports the market's tight clustering around 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 33°C (31%), as persistent cloud cover and convective activity often cap daily maxima near the 31-32°C climatological range rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes to 34°C or higher. High humidity (70-90%) and light variable winds further moderate peaks, while model runs show minor spread in timing of heaviest rain that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated NHC and local agency guidance through the evening will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$14,826Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical wet-season pattern for Manila on September 21, with southwest monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and 40-85% rain probability limiting afternoon solar heating. This supports the market's tight clustering around 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 33°C (31%), as persistent cloud cover and convective activity often cap daily maxima near the 31-32°C climatological range rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes to 34°C or higher. High humidity (70-90%) and light variable winds further moderate peaks, while model runs show minor spread in timing of heaviest rain that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated NHC and local agency guidance through the evening will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,826Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 19, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical wet-season pattern for Manila on September 21, with southwest monsoon flow, scattered thunderstorms, and 40-85% rain probability limiting afternoon solar heating. This supports the market's tight clustering around 32°C (37.5% implied probability) and 33°C (31%), as persistent cloud cover and convective activity often cap daily maxima near the 31-32°C climatological range rather than allowing clearer-sky spikes to 34°C or higher. High humidity (70-90%) and light variable winds further moderate peaks, while model runs show minor spread in timing of heaviest rain that could shift the exact high by 1°C. Updated NHC and local agency guidance through the evening will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong