**Forecast model consensus positions 37°C as the leading outcome for Jeddah’s September 20 high, with trader-implied probability at 42%.** Stable high-pressure patterns, light westerly winds, and clear skies under typical Red Sea coastal conditions support daytime peaks around 36–38°C, consistent with multiple runs showing highs near 98°F (37°C). Recent days featured slightly warmer readings up to 41°C mid-month before modest cooling, aligning with September climatology of 35–37°C averages and minimal precipitation. Lower probabilities for 38°C+ or sub-36°C reflect model spread and uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects. Official updates from regional monitoring will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 20?
36°C 45%
37°C 34%
35°C 12%
38°C 8%
$13,334 Vol.
$13,334 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
12%
36°C
45%
37°C
34%
38°C
8%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
1%
36°C 45%
37°C 34%
35°C 12%
38°C 8%
$13,334 Vol.
$13,334 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
12%
36°C
45%
37°C
34%
38°C
8%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus positions 37°C as the leading outcome for Jeddah’s September 20 high, with trader-implied probability at 42%.** Stable high-pressure patterns, light westerly winds, and clear skies under typical Red Sea coastal conditions support daytime peaks around 36–38°C, consistent with multiple runs showing highs near 98°F (37°C). Recent days featured slightly warmer readings up to 41°C mid-month before modest cooling, aligning with September climatology of 35–37°C averages and minimal precipitation. Lower probabilities for 38°C+ or sub-36°C reflect model spread and uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized sea-breeze effects. Official updates from regional monitoring will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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