Trader sentiment centers on 17°C and 18°C as the most probable daily maximums for Cape Town on September 15, driven by a persistent northwesterly flow ahead of a cut-off low and associated frontal system. Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models show afternoon peaks near 16–18°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and gusty winds that limit insolation and enhance mixing. Recent model runs highlight minor disagreements on timing of heaviest rain and wind shift, creating the tight spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, yet the current cool, moist maritime air mass and elevated precipitation chances favor the lower end of the typical range. Resolution hinges on the official station maximum once observations are finalized.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 15?
17°C 41%
18°C 37%
16°C 15%
19°C 8%
$14,848 Vol.
$14,848 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
41%
18°C
37%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 41%
18°C 37%
16°C 15%
19°C 8%
$14,848 Vol.
$14,848 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
41%
18°C
37%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on 17°C and 18°C as the most probable daily maximums for Cape Town on September 15, driven by a persistent northwesterly flow ahead of a cut-off low and associated frontal system. Official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models show afternoon peaks near 16–18°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and gusty winds that limit insolation and enhance mixing. Recent model runs highlight minor disagreements on timing of heaviest rain and wind shift, creating the tight spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide context, yet the current cool, moist maritime air mass and elevated precipitation chances favor the lower end of the typical range. Resolution hinges on the official station maximum once observations are finalized.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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