A low-pressure system moving westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping market-implied odds for Karachi’s September 15 maximum temperature, with 34–36°C outcomes holding the highest probabilities. This system is expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered thunderstorms, reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling that typically caps afternoon highs below seasonal peaks. High humidity levels near 60–70% and moderate southwesterly winds further influence heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable precipitation timing and intensity, while historical September averages around 32–33°C provide context for the elevated baseline. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and refined numerical model runs on September 15 will likely refine trader positioning around these close thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on September 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 15?
35°C 26%
36°C 20%
34°C 20%
33°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
32°C or below
7%
33°C
12%
34°C
20%
35°C
26%
36°C
20%
37°C
10%
38°C
6%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
35°C 26%
36°C 20%
34°C 20%
33°C 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
32°C or below
$31 Vol.
7%
33°C
$342 Vol.
12%
34°C
$364 Vol.
20%
35°C
$434 Vol.
26%
36°C
$1,431 Vol.
20%
37°C
$1,734 Vol.
10%
38°C
$296 Vol.
6%
39°C
$101 Vol.
3%
40°C
$10 Vol.
2%
41°C
$141 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$141 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A low-pressure system moving westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping market-implied odds for Karachi’s September 15 maximum temperature, with 34–36°C outcomes holding the highest probabilities. This system is expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered thunderstorms, reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling that typically caps afternoon highs below seasonal peaks. High humidity levels near 60–70% and moderate southwesterly winds further influence heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable precipitation timing and intensity, while historical September averages around 32–33°C provide context for the elevated baseline. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and refined numerical model runs on September 15 will likely refine trader positioning around these close thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,019Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A low-pressure system moving westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping market-implied odds for Karachi’s September 15 maximum temperature, with 34–36°C outcomes holding the highest probabilities. This system is expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered thunderstorms, reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling that typically caps afternoon highs below seasonal peaks. High humidity levels near 60–70% and moderate southwesterly winds further influence heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable precipitation timing and intensity, while historical September averages around 32–33°C provide context for the elevated baseline. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and refined numerical model runs on September 15 will likely refine trader positioning around these close thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,019Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...A low-pressure system moving westward from the Bay of Bengal is the main driver shaping market-implied odds for Karachi’s September 15 maximum temperature, with 34–36°C outcomes holding the highest probabilities. This system is expected to increase cloud cover and trigger scattered thunderstorms, reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling that typically caps afternoon highs below seasonal peaks. High humidity levels near 60–70% and moderate southwesterly winds further influence heat retention and boundary-layer mixing. Model consensus shows modest spread due to variable precipitation timing and intensity, while historical September averages around 32–33°C provide context for the elevated baseline. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and refined numerical model runs on September 15 will likely refine trader positioning around these close thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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