**National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 16 point to a high in the lower 70s, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 47.5% implied probability.** Cool northeast winds and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, with a chance of showers keeping surface temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 76°F. Model consensus favors modest warming under the cloud deck rather than full insolation, while the 74-75°F outcome (23.5%) would require clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow than currently projected. The 70-71°F tier (21.5%) remains plausible if showers persist longer into the afternoon. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on September 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 16?
72-73°F 48%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 16, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
48%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 48%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 22%
68-69°F 8%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 16, 2026
63°F or below
$188 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$237 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$624 Vol.
8%
70-71°F
$499 Vol.
22%
72-73°F
$1,268 Vol.
48%
74-75°F
$650 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$151 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$168 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$183 Vol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 16 point to a high in the lower 70s, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 47.5% implied probability.** Cool northeast winds and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, with a chance of showers keeping surface temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 76°F. Model consensus favors modest warming under the cloud deck rather than full insolation, while the 74-75°F outcome (23.5%) would require clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow than currently projected. The 70-71°F tier (21.5%) remains plausible if showers persist longer into the afternoon. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 16 point to a high in the lower 70s, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 47.5% implied probability.** Cool northeast winds and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, with a chance of showers keeping surface temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 76°F. Model consensus favors modest warming under the cloud deck rather than full insolation, while the 74-75°F outcome (23.5%) would require clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow than currently projected. The 70-71°F tier (21.5%) remains plausible if showers persist longer into the afternoon. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,150Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 16 point to a high in the lower 70s, aligning with the market's leading 72-73°F bin at 47.5% implied probability.** Cool northeast winds and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit daytime heating, with a chance of showers keeping surface temperatures below the late-summer climatological average of 76°F. Model consensus favors modest warming under the cloud deck rather than full insolation, while the 74-75°F outcome (23.5%) would require clearer conditions or stronger southerly flow than currently projected. The 70-71°F tier (21.5%) remains plausible if showers persist longer into the afternoon. Updated NWS guidance and high-resolution model runs over the next 24 hours will be the key catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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