Official observations from Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 79°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bin that holds 93.5% market-implied probability. Late-summer atmospheric conditions featured typical subtropical humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that prevented significant nocturnal cooling, consistent with climatological averages near 77°F and recent analogs from 2024–2025. National Weather Service data confirm no anomalous cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling occurred overnight. A shift in measured low would require revised station reports or alternative site readings outside standard resolution criteria, though such adjustments remain improbable given the early-morning timing and consistency across monitoring networks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on September 16?
78-79°F 98%
76-77°F 7%
74-75°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$7,403 Vol.
$7,403 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
98%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 98%
76-77°F 7%
74-75°F <1%
71°F or below <1%
$7,403 Vol.
$7,403 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
98%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Miami International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 79°F on September 16, 2026, aligning precisely with the 78-79°F bin that holds 93.5% market-implied probability. Late-summer atmospheric conditions featured typical subtropical humidity, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that prevented significant nocturnal cooling, consistent with climatological averages near 77°F and recent analogs from 2024–2025. National Weather Service data confirm no anomalous cold-air advection or clear-sky radiational cooling occurred overnight. A shift in measured low would require revised station reports or alternative site readings outside standard resolution criteria, though such adjustments remain improbable given the early-morning timing and consistency across monitoring networks.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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