Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS position 27°C as the consensus high for Incheon on September 17, with trader-implied odds reflecting this under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Moderating autumnal conditions after warmer prior days, combined with increasing cloud cover and stable pressure around 1020 hPa, limit intensification while keeping daytime maxima in the upper 20s°C range. Historical September averages near 25°C provide baseline context, but current steering patterns and low precipitation risk favor the narrow 26–28°C band dominating probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key variable that could shift sentiment if they revise the peak temperature.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
27°C 50%
28°C 28%
26°C 21%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
21%
27°C
50%
28°C
28%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 28%
26°C 21%
25°C 5%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
21%
27°C
50%
28°C
28%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like GFS position 27°C as the consensus high for Incheon on September 17, with trader-implied odds reflecting this under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Moderating autumnal conditions after warmer prior days, combined with increasing cloud cover and stable pressure around 1020 hPa, limit intensification while keeping daytime maxima in the upper 20s°C range. Historical September averages near 25°C provide baseline context, but current steering patterns and low precipitation risk favor the narrow 26–28°C band dominating probabilities. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key variable that could shift sentiment if they revise the peak temperature.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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