Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to an overnight low near 54°F in Seattle on September 17 under clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 54-55°F outcome. Stable high pressure and seasonal radiative cooling under dry conditions have kept recent minima in the low-to-mid 50s, matching the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 52.9°F. Traders appear to discount outlier risks of stronger cooling or unseasonable warmth, as no significant frontal systems or marine intrusions are expected before dawn. Updated evening model runs and official NWS forecasts will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Seattle on September 17?
54-55°F 59%
45°F or below 52.1%
64°F or higher 49.0%
56-57°F 40%
45°F or below
52%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
53%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
14%
64°F or higher
49%
54-55°F 59%
45°F or below 52.1%
64°F or higher 49.0%
56-57°F 40%
45°F or below
52%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
39%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
53%
56-57°F
40%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
14%
64°F or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model consensus points to an overnight low near 54°F in Seattle on September 17 under clear skies and light northerly flow, aligning with the market’s strong preference for the 54-55°F outcome. Stable high pressure and seasonal radiative cooling under dry conditions have kept recent minima in the low-to-mid 50s, matching the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 52.9°F. Traders appear to discount outlier risks of stronger cooling or unseasonable warmth, as no significant frontal systems or marine intrusions are expected before dawn. Updated evening model runs and official NWS forecasts will provide the final observational data for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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