Recent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for September 18 in Mexico City, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity that moderate radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions contrast with clearer nights that could dip lower and support the 35% market-implied odds on 5°C or below, while warmer boundary-layer mixing or model shifts toward 14–15°C align with the leading probabilities near 40% and 35.5%. Historical September minima average around 10–12°C, but current steering patterns and moisture limit extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 18?
5°C or below 60%
14°C 41%
13°C 40%
6°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
60%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
24%
13°C
33%
14°C
40%
15°C or higher
27%
5°C or below 60%
14°C 41%
13°C 40%
6°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Vol.
60%
6°C
$0 Vol.
39%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$5 Vol.
33%
14°C
$201 Vol.
40%
15°C or higher
$12 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for September 18 in Mexico City, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity that moderate radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions contrast with clearer nights that could dip lower and support the 35% market-implied odds on 5°C or below, while warmer boundary-layer mixing or model shifts toward 14–15°C align with the leading probabilities near 40% and 35.5%. Historical September minima average around 10–12°C, but current steering patterns and moisture limit extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$218Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for September 18 in Mexico City, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity that moderate radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions contrast with clearer nights that could dip lower and support the 35% market-implied odds on 5°C or below, while warmer boundary-layer mixing or model shifts toward 14–15°C align with the leading probabilities near 40% and 35.5%. Historical September minima average around 10–12°C, but current steering patterns and moisture limit extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$218Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ensemble models points to a daily minimum near 12–13°C for September 18 in Mexico City, driven by persistent overnight cloud cover, light northerly winds, and high humidity that moderate radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions contrast with clearer nights that could dip lower and support the 35% market-implied odds on 5°C or below, while warmer boundary-layer mixing or model shifts toward 14–15°C align with the leading probabilities near 40% and 35.5%. Historical September minima average around 10–12°C, but current steering patterns and moisture limit extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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