Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 19 near 14–16 °C under southwesterly flow, with partial cloud cover and light rain limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports roughly equal market-implied odds for an 11 °C-or-below low versus a 20 °C minimum, as modest changes in wind speed or timing of any clearer intervals could shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and above-climatological sea-surface temperatures reduce the chance of sharp cooling, while any strengthening of the pressure gradient would favor the higher end of the range. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 19?
16°C 52%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
17°C 30%
11°C or below
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
19%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
52%
17°C
30%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 52%
14°C 39%
15°C 39%
17°C 30%
11°C or below
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
19%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
52%
17°C
30%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 19 near 14–16 °C under southwesterly flow, with partial cloud cover and light rain limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup supports roughly equal market-implied odds for an 11 °C-or-below low versus a 20 °C minimum, as modest changes in wind speed or timing of any clearer intervals could shift the overnight low by 2–3 °C. Persistent Atlantic moisture and above-climatological sea-surface temperatures reduce the chance of sharp cooling, while any strengthening of the pressure gradient would favor the higher end of the range. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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