Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and light easterly flow over central Spain on September 19, favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid. These conditions represent a modest positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 25.7 °C for the date, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short lead time, with only modest potential for a 1–2 °C upward revision if insolation exceeds expectations or a slight downward shift if boundary-layer moisture increases. The next high-resolution model cycles and the official AEMET forecast update will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
29°C 52%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
31°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
52%
30°C
22%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 52%
30°C 22%
28°C 18%
31°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 19, 2026
24°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$13 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$154 Vol.
52%
30°C
$234 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
14%
32°C
$5 Vol.
5%
33°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and light easterly flow over central Spain on September 19, favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid. These conditions represent a modest positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 25.7 °C for the date, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short lead time, with only modest potential for a 1–2 °C upward revision if insolation exceeds expectations or a slight downward shift if boundary-layer moisture increases. The next high-resolution model cycles and the official AEMET forecast update will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$593Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and light easterly flow over central Spain on September 19, favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid. These conditions represent a modest positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 25.7 °C for the date, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short lead time, with only modest potential for a 1–2 °C upward revision if insolation exceeds expectations or a slight downward shift if boundary-layer moisture increases. The next high-resolution model cycles and the official AEMET forecast update will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$593Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 19, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, corroborated by AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and light easterly flow over central Spain on September 19, favoring a daytime maximum near 28–29 °C in Madrid. These conditions represent a modest positive anomaly relative to the 1991–2020 climatological high of 25.7 °C for the date, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short lead time, with only modest potential for a 1–2 °C upward revision if insolation exceeds expectations or a slight downward shift if boundary-layer moisture increases. The next high-resolution model cycles and the official AEMET forecast update will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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