Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely centered near 20–21 °C, with the tight 46 %–36.5 % market split reflecting modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer warming. Key variables include the position of a weak Atlantic ridge maintaining light southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing modest insolation, and urban heat-island amplification of roughly 1 °C. Slight differences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while the 22 °C tail (11 %) would require stronger subsidence or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated runs overnight will narrow the range ahead of the observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on September 17?
21°C 47%
20°C 37%
22°C 11%
19°C 5%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
37%
21°C
47%
22°C
11%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 47%
20°C 37%
22°C 11%
19°C 5%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
37%
21°C
47%
22°C
11%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Deutscher Wetterdienst indicate a maximum temperature in Munich on September 17 likely centered near 20–21 °C, with the tight 46 %–36.5 % market split reflecting modest ensemble spread in boundary-layer warming. Key variables include the position of a weak Atlantic ridge maintaining light southerly flow, limited cloud cover allowing modest insolation, and urban heat-island amplification of roughly 1 °C. Slight differences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while the 22 °C tail (11 %) would require stronger subsidence or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated runs overnight will narrow the range ahead of the observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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