**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum in Shenzhen on September 16 clustered between 31–32 °C, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating.** Recent days featured scattered showers and thunderstorms that lowered surface temperatures and increased boundary-layer moisture, while the subtropical high-pressure ridge maintains warm advection without strong subsidence. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze enhancement, producing the tight market split between the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the city hover near 31–32 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology absent a stronger high-pressure build or unexpected clearing. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs later today will likely narrow the implied-probability gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 16?
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
33°C 15%
30°C 12%
BAGO
$17,909 Vol.
BAGO
$17,909 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
35%
32°C
32%
33°C
15%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
33°C 15%
30°C 12%
BAGO
$17,909 Vol.
BAGO
$17,909 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$244 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$217 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,575 Vol.
1%
29°C
$768 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,287 Vol.
12%
31°C
$1,890 Vol.
35%
32°C
$4,012 Vol.
32%
33°C
$5,714 Vol.
15%
34°C
$1,350 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum in Shenzhen on September 16 clustered between 31–32 °C, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating.** Recent days featured scattered showers and thunderstorms that lowered surface temperatures and increased boundary-layer moisture, while the subtropical high-pressure ridge maintains warm advection without strong subsidence. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze enhancement, producing the tight market split between the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the city hover near 31–32 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology absent a stronger high-pressure build or unexpected clearing. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs later today will likely narrow the implied-probability gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17,909Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum in Shenzhen on September 16 clustered between 31–32 °C, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating.** Recent days featured scattered showers and thunderstorms that lowered surface temperatures and increased boundary-layer moisture, while the subtropical high-pressure ridge maintains warm advection without strong subsidence. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze enhancement, producing the tight market split between the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the city hover near 31–32 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology absent a stronger high-pressure build or unexpected clearing. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs later today will likely narrow the implied-probability gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,909Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum in Shenzhen on September 16 clustered between 31–32 °C, with partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and limited convective activity expected to moderate peak heating.** Recent days featured scattered showers and thunderstorms that lowered surface temperatures and increased boundary-layer moisture, while the subtropical high-pressure ridge maintains warm advection without strong subsidence. Ensemble spread arises mainly from differences in cloud-cover timing and any late-day sea-breeze enhancement, producing the tight market split between the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical September averages for the city hover near 31–32 °C, so current guidance aligns closely with climatology absent a stronger high-pressure build or unexpected clearing. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs later today will likely narrow the implied-probability gap before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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