Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 17?
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
6°C or below
88%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
88%
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 39%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Vol.
88%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional points to overnight lows of 11–13°C on September 17 in Buenos Aires, driven by northerly flow, clear to partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C-or-below bin and below the 16°C-or-higher threshold that together hold 88% of market-implied probability. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum (typically pre-dawn), local station siting effects, and any late adjustments in steering winds or dew-point depressions that could shift readings by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official minimum reports through the early morning hours will provide the clearest signals ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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