Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 15 points to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and easterly flow that should limit peak heating, with forecast highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. This setup favors the market-leading 90-91°F bin as traders weigh typical late-summer climatology—when Miami highs often reach the low 90s absent strong convection—against the cooling influence of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity and heat-index values near 100°F add uncertainty around exact maximum air temperatures, while the narrow 88-89°F and 92-93°F ranges reflect ongoing model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated runs from NOAA and local offices over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Miami on September 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 15?
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
46%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 46%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 19%
86-87°F 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 15, 2026
79°F or below
$10 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$10 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$10 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$47 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$130 Vol.
25%
90-91°F
$156 Vol.
46%
92-93°F
$28 Vol.
19%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$10 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 15 points to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and easterly flow that should limit peak heating, with forecast highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. This setup favors the market-leading 90-91°F bin as traders weigh typical late-summer climatology—when Miami highs often reach the low 90s absent strong convection—against the cooling influence of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity and heat-index values near 100°F add uncertainty around exact maximum air temperatures, while the narrow 88-89°F and 92-93°F ranges reflect ongoing model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated runs from NOAA and local offices over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Volume
$253Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 15 points to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and easterly flow that should limit peak heating, with forecast highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. This setup favors the market-leading 90-91°F bin as traders weigh typical late-summer climatology—when Miami highs often reach the low 90s absent strong convection—against the cooling influence of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity and heat-index values near 100°F add uncertainty around exact maximum air temperatures, while the narrow 88-89°F and 92-93°F ranges reflect ongoing model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated runs from NOAA and local offices over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$253Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 15 points to scattered afternoon thunderstorms and easterly flow that should limit peak heating, with forecast highs centered in the mid-to-upper 80s. This setup favors the market-leading 90-91°F bin as traders weigh typical late-summer climatology—when Miami highs often reach the low 90s absent strong convection—against the cooling influence of cloud cover and rainfall. High humidity and heat-index values near 100°F add uncertainty around exact maximum air temperatures, while the narrow 88-89°F and 92-93°F ranges reflect ongoing model spread on storm timing and intensity. Updated runs from NOAA and local offices over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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