Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 15?
16°C 99.5%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$7,390 Vol.
$7,390 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 99.5%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$7,390 Vol.
$7,390 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$98 Vol.
No
12°C
$118 Vol.
No
13°C
$198 Vol.
No
14°C
$260 Vol.
No
15°C
$767 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,318 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$1,913 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,412 Vol.
No
19°C
$430 Vol.
No
20°C
$790 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$86 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$7,390Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,390Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Current forecasts from GFS ensemble runs and Met Office guidance show a minimum temperature of 16°C at Paris-Le Bourget under mostly clear skies and moderate northwest winds that favor radiative cooling with limited boundary-layer mixing. This setup produces a tight cluster of overnight low projections around 16°C, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of 11–13°C, supporting the market's 95% implied probability for that outcome. High-pressure dominance and dry continental air have sustained these conditions through the past 48 hours. Resolution hinges on the official NOAA station reading, so late model shifts from increased cloud cover or wind changes could still nudge the low by 1–2°C if they materialize before dawn.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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