Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Beijing under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 16, with light southerly flow and afternoon highs centered near 30–32°C. This consensus, consistent with recent runs showing minimal precipitation and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C. Day-to-day variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing introduces modest uncertainty, while climatological context of September highs averaging 26°C highlights the anomalously warm pattern. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 16?
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 19%
29°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C
7%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
30°C 19%
29°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 16, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7 Vol.
5%
29°C
$334 Vol.
11%
30°C
$229 Vol.
19%
31°C
$52 Vol.
28%
32°C
$32 Vol.
32%
33°C
$16 Vol.
10%
34°C
$0 Vol.
7%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$0 Vol.
5%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Beijing under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 16, with light southerly flow and afternoon highs centered near 30–32°C. This consensus, consistent with recent runs showing minimal precipitation and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C. Day-to-day variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing introduces modest uncertainty, while climatological context of September highs averaging 26°C highlights the anomalously warm pattern. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$671Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Beijing under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 16, with light southerly flow and afternoon highs centered near 30–32°C. This consensus, consistent with recent runs showing minimal precipitation and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C. Day-to-day variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing introduces modest uncertainty, while climatological context of September highs averaging 26°C highlights the anomalously warm pattern. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$671Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Beijing under clear to partly cloudy skies on September 16, with light southerly flow and afternoon highs centered near 30–32°C. This consensus, consistent with recent runs showing minimal precipitation and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C. Day-to-day variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact peak timing introduces modest uncertainty, while climatological context of September highs averaging 26°C highlights the anomalously warm pattern. Updated model guidance and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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