Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a passing low-pressure system and weak cold front have moderated radiative cooling over Wuhan, anchoring overnight lows near 18–20°C in the latest model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Light northerly winds and high humidity limit further temperature drops, while any partial clearing could allow the minimum to dip toward 17°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–18°C because ensemble spreads show only modest differences in timing and extent of cloud break, with lower outcomes like 14°C or below requiring stronger advection or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated forecasts ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 18?
14°C or below 97%
17°C 97%
15°C 17%
16°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
97%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
97%
18°C
50%
19°C
30%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
14°C or below 97%
17°C 97%
15°C 17%
16°C 17%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 18, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
97%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
97%
18°C
$61 Vol.
50%
19°C
$116 Vol.
30%
20°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$547 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a passing low-pressure system and weak cold front have moderated radiative cooling over Wuhan, anchoring overnight lows near 18–20°C in the latest model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Light northerly winds and high humidity limit further temperature drops, while any partial clearing could allow the minimum to dip toward 17°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–18°C because ensemble spreads show only modest differences in timing and extent of cloud break, with lower outcomes like 14°C or below requiring stronger advection or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated forecasts ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,197Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a passing low-pressure system and weak cold front have moderated radiative cooling over Wuhan, anchoring overnight lows near 18–20°C in the latest model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Light northerly winds and high humidity limit further temperature drops, while any partial clearing could allow the minimum to dip toward 17°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–18°C because ensemble spreads show only modest differences in timing and extent of cloud break, with lower outcomes like 14°C or below requiring stronger advection or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated forecasts ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,197Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover from a passing low-pressure system and weak cold front have moderated radiative cooling over Wuhan, anchoring overnight lows near 18–20°C in the latest model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration. Light northerly winds and high humidity limit further temperature drops, while any partial clearing could allow the minimum to dip toward 17°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 17–18°C because ensemble spreads show only modest differences in timing and extent of cloud break, with lower outcomes like 14°C or below requiring stronger advection or clearer skies than currently indicated. Updated forecasts ahead of the 18th will refine these thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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