Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 16 under northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support the market’s strong 64% implied probability on 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak heating. Early-autumn climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima in this range absent typhoon influences or strong frontal passages, and current observations confirm no rapid changes in steering patterns or moisture that would push extremes higher or lower. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 16?
28°C 66%
27°C 22%
29°C 11%
25°C 2%
BAGO
$12,547 Vol.
BAGO
$12,547 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
22%
28°C
66%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 66%
27°C 22%
29°C 11%
25°C 2%
BAGO
$12,547 Vol.
BAGO
$12,547 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$679 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$563 Vol.
1%
25°C
$987 Vol.
2%
26°C
$940 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,685 Vol.
22%
28°C
$2,908 Vol.
66%
29°C
$1,176 Vol.
11%
30°C
$999 Vol.
2%
31°C
$799 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,008 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$804 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 16 under northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support the market’s strong 64% implied probability on 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak heating. Early-autumn climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima in this range absent typhoon influences or strong frontal passages, and current observations confirm no rapid changes in steering patterns or moisture that would push extremes higher or lower. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 16 under northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support the market’s strong 64% implied probability on 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak heating. Early-autumn climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima in this range absent typhoon influences or strong frontal passages, and current observations confirm no rapid changes in steering patterns or moisture that would push extremes higher or lower. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies and models indicate a high of 28–29°C in Shanghai on September 16 under northeast winds of 6–9 m/s, mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure near 1018 hPa. These conditions support the market’s strong 64% implied probability on 28°C, with 27°C and 29°C as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread in peak heating. Early-autumn climatology for the region shows typical daily maxima in this range absent typhoon influences or strong frontal passages, and current observations confirm no rapid changes in steering patterns or moisture that would push extremes higher or lower. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have reinforced this narrow band, tightening trader consensus ahead of final resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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