Recent forecasts from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 15 likely near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads in short-range models show modest uncertainty from potential shifts in cloud cover or weak cold-air advection, supporting the market's closely matched probabilities across ranges. Historical September 15 lows average 9.4°C but have reached 1.6°C in rare cases, while recent years trend warmer; traders weigh these baselines against live observational updates from stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Upcoming model runs and real-time data releases will likely narrow resolution thresholds around the 12°C or higher and sub-5°C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 15?
12°C or higher 81%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
2°C or below
32%
3°C
22%
4°C
23%
5°C
27%
6°C
25%
7°C
23%
8°C
21%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C or higher
81%
12°C or higher 81%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
2°C or below
32%
3°C
22%
4°C
23%
5°C
27%
6°C
25%
7°C
23%
8°C
21%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C or higher
81%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Finnish Meteorological Institute and global models indicate a minimum temperature in Helsinki on September 15 likely near 12°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble spreads in short-range models show modest uncertainty from potential shifts in cloud cover or weak cold-air advection, supporting the market's closely matched probabilities across ranges. Historical September 15 lows average 9.4°C but have reached 1.6°C in rare cases, while recent years trend warmer; traders weigh these baselines against live observational updates from stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Upcoming model runs and real-time data releases will likely narrow resolution thresholds around the 12°C or higher and sub-5°C outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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