Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate clear to mostly sunny skies over Qingdao on September 15 under a stable high-pressure pattern with southerly winds of 3–4 levels, supporting a daytime high near 27°C amid typical early-autumn maritime moderation. Ensemble model spreads and local urban effects create genuine uncertainty around whether the peak reaches the upper 20s or edges into the low 30s, aligning with the tight market split between 30°C and 31°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide baseline context, while the absence of significant frontal systems or cloud cover keeps probabilities concentrated on those two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
31°C 54%
30°C 32%
32°C or higher 9%
29°C 6%
$12,731 Vol.
$12,731 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
32%
31°C
54%
32°C or higher
9%
31°C 54%
30°C 32%
32°C or higher 9%
29°C 6%
$12,731 Vol.
$12,731 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
32%
31°C
54%
32°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate clear to mostly sunny skies over Qingdao on September 15 under a stable high-pressure pattern with southerly winds of 3–4 levels, supporting a daytime high near 27°C amid typical early-autumn maritime moderation. Ensemble model spreads and local urban effects create genuine uncertainty around whether the peak reaches the upper 20s or edges into the low 30s, aligning with the tight market split between 30°C and 31°C. Historical September averages near 26°C provide baseline context, while the absence of significant frontal systems or cloud cover keeps probabilities concentrated on those two outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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