Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate Madrid's September 16 high will likely peak near 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, following an unusually warm 35–36°C day on the 15th. The primary catalyst is the shift to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating, consistent with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above capture residual uncertainty from model timing of clouds and wind gusts. Official updates from AEMET or refined ensemble runs will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 16?
28°C 43%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 6%
BAGO
$18,439 Vol.
BAGO
$18,439 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
16%
28°C
43%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
29°C 30%
27°C 16%
30°C 6%
BAGO
$18,439 Vol.
BAGO
$18,439 Vol.
Sep 16, 2026
26°C or below
$562 Vol.
4%
27°C
$1,331 Vol.
16%
28°C
$2,750 Vol.
43%
29°C
$4,241 Vol.
30%
30°C
$4,016 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,378 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,328 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,069 Vol.
1%
34°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$112 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate Madrid's September 16 high will likely peak near 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, following an unusually warm 35–36°C day on the 15th. The primary catalyst is the shift to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating, consistent with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above capture residual uncertainty from model timing of clouds and wind gusts. Official updates from AEMET or refined ensemble runs will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$18,439Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate Madrid's September 16 high will likely peak near 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, following an unusually warm 35–36°C day on the 15th. The primary catalyst is the shift to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating, consistent with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above capture residual uncertainty from model timing of clouds and wind gusts. Official updates from AEMET or refined ensemble runs will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,439Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS indicate Madrid's September 16 high will likely peak near 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph, following an unusually warm 35–36°C day on the 15th. The primary catalyst is the shift to cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits afternoon solar heating, consistent with the historical average high of 26.4°C for the date. Trader consensus reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower probabilities for 30°C or above capture residual uncertainty from model timing of clouds and wind gusts. Official updates from AEMET or refined ensemble runs will clarify the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong